Globalisation is not a strategy, nor is it a practice or a process. Globalisation is a perception, an act of very substantial imagination. Even today, there is nowhere we can stand from which to experience The World. At best we could stand on the moon and see half of it, and the detail would be minimal. The world, globalisation, is a mental construct, and a vastly more difficult place to do business than we have been led to believe.
Canadian Academic Northrop Fry said that the biggest problem for post-colonial authors, is that the question Who am I? slides inexorably into the absurdity of Where is here? For the global entity the answer to that question is the even more absurd, Everywhere is here. This presentation is about dealing with the realities of Everywhere, being Here.
I have heard a number of speakers refer to the different kinds of globalisation. There is, they say, economic or social, political or environmental globalisation. I suggest that they are telling only half the story. There are different kinds of globalisation in the same way as there are different kinds of pregnancy. You cannot be partially, intermittently or occasionally global.
The problem that most of us have is that we identify ourselves with a specific place. That gives us a centre, which implies a periphery. There is here, and somewhere else. I call this Level Playing Field Thinking. It is two dimensional, bounded in space and time, it has an edge and a middle. It is a workable approach for a local business and wholly at odds with any notion of globalisation which is 4 dimensional, unbounded in space and time, with no periphery, and no centre.
To feel comfortable as a global entity, its members must work within a kind of Globalism Uncertainty Principle which states roughly that, if you know who you are, you cannot be sure of where you are. If you know where you are, you cannot know exactly who you are and if you know both who and where you are for certain, you are simply not a global enterprise.
In deciding to become a global enterprise, any business is taking a huge step into the uncertain. Everywhere else is not like here, everyone else is not just like us but in different languages. There is no MBA process that will enable you to become a global organisation.
Globalisation is at a turning point. Most of the easy gains have been made and the success stories are being balanced by failures that are exciting criticism and opposition from many quarters. As with any radical revision of human relations, the initial promise was overblown, the downsides minimised and the reality is likely to be more mundane than the prospectus painted.
The thesis has been offered, the antithesis is being written and we now must synthesise. I want to propose some ideas that will support that synthesis but I will first be critical of the premise, the promise, the process and the outcomes of Globalisation. This process is not only about business, it will decide whether or not life on this planet is worth living.
I believe nevertheless that we have no option but to carry the process through and that, with a global, ethical perspective, it can be reformed to meet the criticisms and fulfil its potential. Some ideas for that process will be the aim of the second part of this paper.
The
promise of Globalisation is that the whole world can achieve standards of
living similar to those enjoyed by post-industrial, capitalist western
economies. This has been the implicit and sometimes explicit objective of the
WTO[1],
the World Bank, the IMF[2]
and the WEF[3] among others
Although
rarely completely stated, to achieve this outcome:
n the poorest economies will have to grow faster than the wealthy ones in order to catch up,
n the tools of capital investment, market and legal reform must produce greater wealth for recipients than for their investors.
This outcome
will probably mean that:
n the consequent reduced advantage will be unacceptable to the current beneficiaries
n the environmental costs of raising global consumption levels will be prohibitive.
Furthermore,
to standardise the global economy on a single model is both ecologically
irresponsible[4] and
practically unachievable.
The
proponents of Globalisation state that free trade across borders on a Level
Playing Field is a necessary condition for success. This sporting metaphor
assumes that all participants are equally equipped, resourced, trained and
experienced and that it is therefore appropriate, in fact fair to demand that
all participants meet and be bound by the conditions acceptable to the most
able players. Another assumption is that each participant will be able to
benefit from their assumed unique comparative advantage.
The crucial
criticism of Globalisation is that it doesnt deliver. If this is true we must
wonder whether the reason is that its proponents ever intended that it should,
or that its process is inadequate. In either case, to reconcile its objectives
with its outcomes it needs to be reformed.
Proof that
Globalisation is not working so far can be found in a number of significant
statistics. After 20 years of Globalisation we should see reduced poverty in
all participating nations and better stewardship of the human and material
resources needed to generate wealth. Instead of which the statistics now
strongly indicate that the poor are getting very poor and the comfortably off
are losing ground.
The income gap between the worlds
richest 20% and the poorest 20% increased from 30:1 in 1960 to 74:1 in 1997.
For 59 countries, mainly in sub-Saharan Africa and the countries of the former
Eastern Bloc, GNP per capita declined from 1980-96.
20% of the worlds people have 86% of world GDP, 82% of world export markets, 68% of foreign direct investments and 74% of telephone lines: the bottom 20% has about one per cent in each sector. This is entirely at odds with the premise and the promise of Globalisation
After
10 years of economic growth the majority of US workers are making less in
inflation-adjusted dollars, than they made in 1973. [6]
In large companies, some employees earn $1 for every $416 paid to the CEO. In 1940,
it was $1 for every $12. The financial wealth of the top 1% of households
exceeds the combined wealth of the bottom 95%. I dont know about you, but when
I start talking about the bottom 95%, I begin to get very
uncomfortable.
The reduced standards of living are not only in financial terms. Al Gores presidential campaign rhetoric about "hard-working middle-class families" pointed to a central fact of American life: most of the nation's 72 million families feel overworked and under paid. Rising working hours are the cause. From 1989 through 1998, middle- income families added 3.4 weeks to their work year.[7]
The problem is so bad that Fire-fighters in Connecticut recently challenged the constitutionality of mandatory overtime, arguing that it violated the 13th Amendment ban on slavery. New laws being proposed will increase rather than decrease worker liability to unpaid, compulsory overtime.
The blame is now falling squarely on
flaws in the process itself. A United Nations study on the protection of human
rights[8]
has labelled the World Trade Organisation (WTO), a 'nightmare' for developing
countries, saying that its 'open trading' rules are based 'on grossly unfair
and prejudiced' assumptions. The report says that rules of the WTO 'serve only
to promote dominant corporatist interests that already monopolise international
trade'. It will find many ready ears.
Supreme
Court Justice Louis Brandeis wrote: "We can have a democratic society or
we can have the concentration of great wealth in the hands of the few. We
cannot have both." The US is well down the second track. The rest of the
world is close behind and the potential impact on Globalisation strategies will
be important.
A second major area
of the current unworkability of Globalisation is that of economic and resource
sustainability. Western Fuels Association General Manager and CEO
Fred Palmer recently said,[9] There's a correlation between our energy consumption and our
success. We succeed in the United States because of energy consumption.
There is little doubt that the US and similar economies are very
dependent on cheap energy, although it is not always put quite as blatantly as
Mr. Palmer states it.
The current oil crisis is a direct effect of Globalisation [10] which has both increased demand for oil and reduced investment in capacity development.[11] In 1990 the oil business had 20% over-capacity. That has now gone and the economic effects of increasing demand and static supply are affecting global businesses. The energy issue shows that the numbers are too big for the promise. Total annual energy consumption is about 10 trillion watts. The "business as usual" projection for the next 100 years means energy demand will increase 400% to 30 or 40 trillion watts.
To
illustrate the point, if we assume that growing global prosperity enables its
beneficiaries to use just one extra cup of oil products per day. The increased
daily requirement for oil would grow approximately as follows.
1 Billion people 1,572,452 Barrels/day
3 Billion people 4,717,357 Barrels/day
6 Billion people 9,434,715 Barrels/day
In the light of these figures, the recent proposed rise of 1 million barrels per day in oil production will not even cover 1/6th of the worlds population increasing oil use by a cupful a day. The effect of successful Globalisation in the current mould will place much higher demands on energy production and because of its linkage with the US dollar, drive global energy costs much higher.
While the US economy may be insulated
from some of the cost driven effects on business, its global partners will not
be. For a global business, serious challenges can come from disruption to any
market. When nations cant afford their oil, they very quickly turn nasty.
Britain and Europe have shown how quickly social and political unrest can
happen when a critical threshold in energy costs is reached.
The first major
casualty of Globalisation may be the cheap-energy economy. The second casualty
will be any process based on extending that model globally. In either case we
will need to re-examine the proposition. While I dont
propose to deal with the ecological effects of escalating energy use, they
should also be part of a rational Globalisation plan.
As I have suggested,
the necessary condition of a globalised economy is assumed to be the healthy,
vigorous one of the Level Playing Field. It presumes free and fair competition
among equals. But the metaphor is flawed and its application is both
inconsistent and biased. It takes no account of the issues of boundaries,
unequal players, cheating, adequate rules, external interference and outmoded
business practices. I will now look at each of these in turn.
A playing field is bounded both in space and time. Outside the playing area the rules of the game do not apply, reserves can be called into play and casualties can be cared for, treated, recuperate in safety and play again another day.
Under Globalisation, boundaries have no place by definition. As the process is currently played out there is no sanctuary, no-one is deemed to be out of play, anyone can be tackled anywhere, any time. This is not a description of field of fair play, it is a field of war and it is no way to extend and enhance the quality of life on the planet.
The next problem is
gross mismatches. The newest players are matched directly, without protection
or support, against world champions who play very hard ball.
The inequalities
among players are further magnified by powerful governments applying state
resources to ensure that their teams are even better protected.
American companies, including Boeing and General Motors, already avoid an estimated $4 billion a year in taxes by sheltering foreign sales in offshore shell companies. [12] The new US tax plan exempting certain kinds of foreign-earned profits from US taxes would increase these tax breaks alone for American companies to an estimated $6 billion annually.
The Cato[13] Institute estimates that the US Government provides corporations with $75 billion in direct subsidies and $60 billion in tax breaks. [14] The lean, mean corporate warrior is revealed as very flabby but safe from new players who are kept out of the market or quickly neutralised.
Those numbers are a trifle compared with the externalised costs of global corporations in terms of substandard wages and working conditions, worker health and safety, environmental damage and unsafe products. Estimates place the value of these subsidies around $10.7 trillion per year of which about $2.7 trillion is in US subsidies, about 5 times corporate profits. [15] These subsidies are invisible for the very reason that business is not obliged to account for them.
There are two problems with the rules of Globalisation. The first is that there seems to be an assumption that every kind of human interaction can be governed by a single set of simple rules and measured by only one scoreboard, money. The second is that the Level Playing Field metaphor assumes a contest governed by universally agreed rules. While acceptable rules might equalise the players, the 90s has been a decade of de-regulation.
What rules have been written were created
by existing players for their own protection. They insist on strong banking and contract
law, but human rights and employment, public health, education and political
legislation are highly optional, opening the way to exploitation. The clear
message is, money matters, people dont.
Since most of those affected are not consulted about these rules, an ethical issue arises very quickly. Companies that move or relocate production capacity are in effect trading system quality and security for lower cost inputs. The question ..is whether the corporate world should be willing to roll out or support an economic model when the differences between nations on matters that go to fundamental human rights are so great[16]
A community is not a
playing field from which the participants can walk away when they are finished.
A brain surgeon who treated operations as a sport would be struck off, a
teacher who tried to win against the students would be a failure and a business
that goes to war with the world on which it depends for resources and customers
is delusional.
The best games are in doubt till the last
second. They are great dramas in which neither side deserved to lose and is
honoured in defeat. The winner can take all because with the new season, the
counters are reset to zero. There are no proposals to reset the Globalisation
counters to zero, so the rules need to be far more complex and ethically based.
When
it comes to raw materials or primary production in which most of the worlds
economies operate, the field is often tilted.
To facilitate
development, European nations gave Caribbean ex colonies preferential access to
their banana markets because it is better to trade with impoverished nations
than simply to hand out aid. This practical response to a problem of poverty
has been forbidden by the WTO at the instigation of the worlds largest banana
producers with US government support, none of which organisations feels any
responsibility to do anything about the original poverty.
To take another
example, the economically disadvantaged Australian state of Tasmania spent
millions to develop salmon farming and a local market for the product. Canada
used the WTO to prise open the market which they did not help create and which
they will now plunder at the cost of local jobs and investments.
When small nations
do have strong competitive advantages they are regularly prevented from
exercising those advantages by political interference. New Zealand and
Australian lamb producers are more than able to compete on the Level Playing
Field of meat production. US and European farmers used political power to
protect them behind quotas and tariff barriers. Antipodean manufacturing
industries however are forbidden from protecting the jobs of tens of thousands
of poor, unskilled, usually women workers.
For a generation the
wealthy and unscrupulous have hidden money in some 40 nations with relaxed
banking laws, the better to avoid paying legitimate taxes in their home
nations. Now that corporate taxes are so low in their home nations, avoidance
is no longer worth it and there are efforts to close down these conveniently
secretive banking operations, except for those in Switzerland and Belgium.
These examples
demonstrate that powerful governments and vested interests work to ensure that
the advantage remains with the already successful. If the objective of
Globalisation is genuinely to reduce the inequalities between societies through
trade, it is not happening.
The results of
Globalisation so far show that there is an inherent inequality in the structure
designed to prevent peripheral economies from catching up with the core
economies. This is exactly the opposite of the promise. Where there is unequal wealth
there is poverty and where there is poverty there are no consumers.
When we force a net
profit from Globalisation someone makes a net loss. This parasitic recipe is
born out by the figures from the UN and the World Bank. How close can we go to
concentrating all value in one place before something breaks? Apart from the
economic insanity, the ethics are unacceptable.
To
extend the sporting metaphor, consider Tlatchli, played by the Aztec Indians.
It was a combination of basketball, volleyball and soccer. Sometimes as part of
religious ceremonies the losing team was sacrificed to the gods. In our
current, outmoded business model, not only does the winner kill the loser, it eats the customers.
Competitive businesses become lean and efficient by downsizing and job exporting.[17] In effect, If I fire your customers (my staff, who are consumers of your goods and services) faster than you fire my customers (your staff) I win Eventually there is only one player in the market who has all the customers who havent been fired yet. [18] Which is why expansion has been so important. While you are decimating customers in one market, you can always move into new markets to consume the opposition and customers there. But once you have globalised, you have reached the end of this strategy. As more benefits are corralled by a few businesses, we will start to run out of the most precious commodity of all, customers.
In the US, the only
single economy big enough to test the theory, the field was leveled for air
travel in the late 70s. Deregulation of the airline business produced 51 new
airlines, apparently vindicating the theory. However, in the same time, 50 of
those new airlines have gone under. Of the preexisting group, several more have
gone and there are predictions that in 5 years there will be only 2 or 3
airlines in the US.[19]
This process should
nevertheless have benefited the aircraft manufacturers but Boeing is also
essentially the only one left. The free trade in aircraft on the Level Playing
Field has, as predicted by the WEF, produced one winner and no competition. The
Level Playing Field has been tested in the best available arena and it has
failed.
Globalisation has operated on the basis that the world could rise to a western standard of living. But that is not a guarantee and other, perhaps unexpected forces are at work.
At the recent WEF meeting in Melbourne one of China's top business executives, [20] Shanghai Tang chairman David Tang, said trade liberalisation would enable Asia to devastate the labour markets of western countries. In his opinion the world should be concerned about coping with the impact of lower trade barriers to China in their own markets.
"China's going to completely devastate your whole labour force. They have labour costs 15 times, 30 times lower than America the entire Seattle problem was because the unions realised that that's the threat," Tang said.
There is no proposal for Chinese incomes to rise significantly in the near future and erode their very competitive margin. As China continues to accept high levels of pollution and further agrarian aggregation drives 150 million surplus farmers into the cities to compete for industrial work with more millions from bankrupt government enterprises, the effect of opening the Global marketplace to China will be very important.
It will change some cosy assumptions about the markets for high value, high cost products and services created by businesses outside China. The human rights card is off the table so Chinese exports of products and working conditions will be hard to restrict and the underclass in all other countries will swell further with the loss of even more customers.
The opposition to
Globalisation I mentioned in the introduction is gathering pace and power and
includes not only the disaffected and the morally outraged. The acknowledgment
of failure comes from Globalisations most avid proponents.
The WEF said in
1996, [21].
n Globalisation is causing severe economic dislocation and social instability
n Although productivity increases are supposed to produce more jobs and higher wages, technological change has eliminated more jobs than it has created
n Globalisation leads to winner take all situations; the winners win big, the losers lose even bigger
n Globalisation tends to de-link the corporation from its employees, higher profits no longer mean job security or better wages.
n Unless serious corrective action is taken soon, the backlash could turn into open political revolt that could destabilise western democracies.
These are the strongest supporters of Globalisation[22] and their predictions were spot on. The alarm was sounded 4 years ago. The only suggested solution so far is better education in the absent benefits of Globalisation. There is no point explaining the greater good to someone who is not benefiting from it. There has to be a trade, what is it? The failure manifests not only in protests at corporate gabfests but also in real violence to people and assets. There are many examples to illustrate this.
In
1964, copper ore was discovered at Panguna in Central Bougainville, Papua New
Guinea, leading to the biggest open cut mine in the world. Mining company, CRA
and the Australian and Papua New Guinean governments offered the mostly women
landowners no participation. After MP Sir Paul Lapun fought on their behalf
they eventually received 0.05% of the mine's revenue. In addition to the
insulting financial return the mine polluted the Panguna river system
destroying the fishery and food and cash crops were poisoned by airborne toxic
mine chemicals. There was no compensation for these costs.
A
10 year civil war closed the mine. The people of Bougainville are no worse off
than they were before the mine, unless we count poisoned water, depleted
resource and 20,000 dead. Globalisation cannot afford resources at this price.
The War Veterans
of Zimbabwe are portrayed as dumb thugs who occupy land they dont own and kill
or terrify the residents. The existing landowners are descended from Europeans
who occupied land they didnt own and killed, corralled or terrorized the
original residents. The original owners received nothing. Now their descendants
are taking back the land, by the same methods.
The market shakes
its head because they dont have the skills to run the farms as revenue earning
units. In a few years theyll be back to subsistence farming. The full equation
however goes like this. After being kept in poverty, herded into city slums and
forced to work as wage slaves if they are lucky, subsistence farming looks like
a good deal.
This was not the
Globalisation promise and the price of failure is very high. Look for more of
this as more people in third world nations reach the point of absolutely
nothing to lose.
The most valuable
commodity in the world today is oil. Nigeria is well supplied with the resource
yet hundreds of Nigerians burn to death stealing it from pipelines because they
live in grinding poverty. Venezuelans have voted in a strongly socialist
government, in part because the majority of citizens gain no benefit from the
nations oil wealth.
We have to ask, If
those sitting on valuable resources live in poverty, how valid is the process
that manages it?
After
20 years of Globalisation, its opponents have found their voice and the
vocabulary to fight back. In the US a new wave of students have had their
consciences pricked by the human costs of their designer clothing and
corporatised Universities. Organisations such as WRC, USAS and SEJ[24]
have sprung up as their members realise that they are benefiting from the
misery of others.
There is vandalism
in Seattle, beatings at the WEF in Melbourne, panicky conciliation in Prague,
trashed MacDonalds in France. [25] There is a
change in the tide[26] and the diverse agendas of the coalition of
left and right wing, environmental and social opponents will not be satisfied
by piecemeal reforms.
They
also have a wide and continuously available range of targets including the WEF,
WTO, IMF and World Bank. These organisations attract increasingly energetic
protest which casts globalisers as secretive, unresponsive and in ever greater
need of armed protection. This opposition needs to be taken into account in a
Globalisation plan. They are well informed, well co-ordinated and they are gathering
power.
The worst hypocrisy of the Level Playing Field is that while goods, services, profits and dividends flow easily across borders, people may not. Britain, Europe, Australia and the US spend billions to protect themselves against Economic Refugees who want a better life and arrive in filthy ships or suffocating freight containers looking for economic benefit. In global terms they are looking for the exported wealth created in their own lands.
And why should they not? The Level Playing Field implicitly demands mobile work forces, a free market in wages and conditions as much as any other commercial freedom. If the agenda is to limit the benefits to certain geographically privileged populations it is unethical and needs reform.
Mexican President Vincente Fox set a cat among the pigeons in August when he suggested that a truly open business environment would remove the barriers to the flow of people across borders. US Politicians eventually confirmed that he meant, when Mexican standards of living reach US standards, in about 30 years. So the time frame is, benefits for the rich now while the poor wait a generation. Why would anyone support that process? Especially as current standards outside wealthy countries are falling, not rising.
An estimated 30 million illegal
immigrants per year cross borders in search of a better life. Many are
stigmatised as Economic Refugees. They are however, exactly the kind of
people who are supposed to be in greatest demand. They are enterprising, take
initiatives and risks. And in a global economy it doesnt matter if governments
wont allow human migration because Globalisation ensures that their working
conditions can. There
is a race to the bottom. It is happening largely out of sight and
unmeasured by the tools of the marketplace and it has to stop.
The biggest criticism of Globalisation is that it has no ethical basis for anything. It does not value what it cant, or refuses to, measure and its stance in the face of uncomfortable evidence is denial and attacks on critics. There is a long list of businesses whose ethics are unacceptable and as long as their practices are glossed over or discounted, it will remain a potent issue. The responsibilities must be commensurate with the rewards.
The
greatest loss of ethical high ground occurs in the distribution of products
that damage the health of communities. The difference between the criminal and
the legal too often comes down to a meaningless distinction.
White Powder Addicts
In the third world the dairy industry sold the image of the healthy, milk powder fed, baby. Millions of impoverished women paid money they couldnt afford for a product they didnt need, mixed it with contaminated water and fed it to their infants. Ethical business practice requires that they should have worked with the communities to ensure a ready supply of safe water. They did not.
The
essential difference between illegal drugs and the tobacco and alcohol
industries is that the last two are protected by law[28].
But these Global organisations all want the same thing. The consumers right to
choose and a Level Playing Field..
In reforming the process of Globalisation these ethical double standards need to be dealt with.
We Can See the Bottom from Here
When the economic dislocation identified by the WEF occurs, the most disadvantaged victims become vulnerable to exploitation and, in the worst cases, slavery. A conservative estimate puts global slave worker numbers around 27 million and growing. [29] Unlike the traditional form of slavery which treats people as chattels which are owned and to which the owner has an economic responsibility through his very substantial investment, modern slavery treats people as disposable consumables because the individual cost is low and quickly recovered. In this model the owner can keep maintenance to a minimum and when their economic benefit is wrung out they are simply discarded.
Indias low cost structure is underpinned by cheap food produced by bonded agricultural slave labour. Brazilian steel, sugar, rubber, cattle and timber industries use slave labour. Thailands tourism industry is underpinned by slave sex workers. The worlds garment industries exploit women who live so close to slavery that it barely matters.
The variety and low prices of the global economic miracle are paid for in human misery. When a business benefits from slavery or its near cousins, and most do, they either turn the blind eye or take action. Investors in global business have the most powerful tool of all, money.
If it cant be used to benefit the most disadvantaged of our neighbours, it has no worthwhile function. As slavery and near slavery increases, if we have not reached the bottom, we can see it from here.
We have an
inequitable process creating exactly the opposite outcome to that originally
proposed. If Globalisation is about taking the broad view let us do that. In
the last 20 years we have rewritten the rules of trade and government
regulation. All we are asking is that these rules be revised to account for
their defects. The world is not governed by a shadowy elite interested in no
more than its own enrichment, there is no conspiracy to drive people into
poverty, sickness and environmental destitution, those are unpredicted outcomes
of the process and we can fix it.
Fundamental to any
society is an ethical perspective. Based on the available evidence, ethical
reform of the process is the top level agenda. Then let us also revise the
promise to a realistic target and align the power we give it to match its
genuine potential outcomes. We need clearly to define progress in terms of
quality of life not levels of consumption and measure that quality as part of
the process.
Then we need to
revise the rules to discourage the abuses and steer the process more
effectively towards its stated objectives. Legislate for a real world full of
flawed players, not the idealized teams of the Level Playing Field.
Consumption was the
old name for tuberculosis. It is an illness, it should not be a business
strategy. As cheap resources dry up we will need to replace consumption for its
own sake with more sophisticated modes of commercial relations. We will have to
assign the highest possible value to any resource and apply to it tests of
sustainability, appropriateness, recoverability, pollution and other costs.
This will require
paying vastly more attention to existing cultural and economic management
practices than we have shown so far. Global enterprises find many cultures that
are uniquely appropriate to their environment. We must learn to respect that
relationship and not immediately prescribe more unnecessary consumption of
resources. [30]
Fundamental to any process reform will be to ensure the market is the servant of human needs and not the human as servant of the market. If it doesnt provide for family involvement, community participation, recreation, reflection and above all rest, we can fix it.
The second
consideration is that we have to place the efficient and effective use of human
and environmental resources above the efficient use of money.
As a tool it can be
used to dispossess the disadvantaged, or prise open the doors behind which
destructive decisions are made. When we devalue lives to preserve the value of
the money, we have the wrong end of the stick. We can fix it.
Monitoring and
enforcement will be difficult to negotiate and hard to implement. No-one said
this would be easy. A democratic and transparent process would be a good start.
Press for it.
Any suggestion for a
solution needs to meet the objections raised by the WEF and we can be fairly
sure that more of the same will not do.
A genuine market is
a self sustaining process in which all the players can create something of
value to the others and enough supply competition that no-one has to impoverish
themselves to buy the basics of life.
The
real challenge of Globalisation is to find business models that continuously
and progressively increase the number of potential customers and enrich them
enough to become consumers of sustainable goods and services. Which is
precisely the opposite of what is happening.
We should be finding
ways for these new markets to:
n
Create the wealth
needed to afford our products
n
Continue to
participate in the market
n
Equalise the
trade by selling their goods and services at a sufficient price to cover the
costs of their participation.
We need prohibitions
against resource depletion but the fundamental description for a fully functional
market has been around for a long time and is still, nominally, the foundation
for the process. In was first laid out in 1776, by Adam Smith [31]
He set some basic
rules for the operation of the invisible hand of the market and here I compare
them with the warnings from the WEF
n
WEF Warning
Globalisation leads to
winner take all situations; the winners win big, the losers lose even bigger
Adam Smith
Buyers and
sellers must be individually too small to influence the market
Complete Information must be available to all participants and there can be no
trade secrets
n
WEF Warning
Globalisation tends to
de-link the corporation from its employees, Higher profits no longer mean job
security or better wages.
Adam Smith
Investment
capital must remain within national borders and trade between countries must be
balanced
n
WEF Warning
Globalisation is causing
severe economic dislocation and social instability
Adam Smith
Sellers must
bear the full cost of the products they sell and pass them on in the sale
price. (This includes the elimination of predatory subsidies and a full
accounting for the environmental and social costs; the triple bottom line
accounting.)
Investment capital must remain within national borders and trade between
countries must be balanced.
n
WEF Warning
Although productivity
increases are supposed to produce more jobs and higher wages, technological
change has eliminated more jobs than it has created
Adam Smith
Savings must be
invested in the creation of productive capital
These are not pious
prescriptions for a better world, they are among the many conditions needed to
enable the market to operate efficiently. They are no longer sufficient
conditions, but they are essential. These simple rules dont govern global
trade and the results are increasing poverty, environmental degradation,
financial instability and a dysfunctional marketplace.
We
live in a complex, mercurial world that cannot be described by simplistic
sports concepts. Globalisation will require levels of flexibility and sophistication
that we have never had to make explicit before and that will mean real changes
in our thinking processes, the kind needed to shift from scavenging to
stewardship. Valuable tools in this process will be networking and
partnerships.
This
does not however, mean a marketing programme, an awareness campaign or even
ethical trade focus groups. It does mean actual profit and power sharing
partnerships with others everywhere. There is good evidence that networks of small and medium sized holdings
can work effectively and to the mutual benefit of all participants. Most of
these are regional but with effective communications there is no reason that
global ones will not work at least as well.
When you become
global you say goodbye to nationality and parochialism. There are no foreigners
at the global level. Network thinking and action is essential to the
sustainability of a globalised economy and the enterprises within it.
The Internet is a
very effective model for Globalisation. It is the first genuinely global entity
that has never been anything else and it has some very powerful paradigms we
can use in thinking about Globalisation. It is significant that some of the
most effective users of the internet are the opponents of Globalisation. This
is partly because networks have benefits not available to centralised
organisations, however widely spread.
The Network model is
n-dimensional. It can manage inputs from many sources simultaneously and
propagate them quickly through the system. Above all it is adaptable and
responsive to change.
Every link in the
network has its own unique value and essential contribution to make. Every one
of them can teach all of the others something they need to know to make the
enterprise a success. It is a knowledge market. How do you gain access to that
through your strategy? Certainly not while you take from the market more than
you give.
This law observes
that the power of a network rises as the square of the number of connections. A
global network of self directed participants with a common goal quickly becomes
a force to be reckoned with, as long as each connection is of roughly equal
strength.
The downside of
Metcalfe is that the last few gains and the first few losses create the biggest
changes. If Globalisation is almost done, the modifying the final few additions
could have a much bigger effect than any that have gone before. If it begins to
unravel, the first changes will be the biggest.
The other lesson of
the Internet is that a network of a few very powerful nodes and many weak ones
is exceptionally vulnerable. [32]
Networks among equals are more powerful than master/ slave ones. If you dont
find equals, you have to build them.
Information networks
have prompted an unexpected and unpredictable flowering of innovation. The
vital lesson of Napster [33]is
that when a closed mechanism encounters an open mechanism, the latter has huge
natural advantages and the former has to employ massive resources just to stay
in the game.
The lower your
partners entry costs the faster you can build a network and the more emphasis
you can place on trustworthiness, energy, enthusiasm and local knowledge.
The network process
is co-operation and collaboration. The Internets functionality was largely
built and maintained by voluntary labour for mutual and collective benefit. The
most effective tools were all created by consensus and co-operation. The
irrationality of eCommerce is testimony to the waste and incompetence of competition
in a collaborative environment. Globalising business needs to engage the former
process, not the latter.
By distributing
decision making and management processes while maintaining high value
communications among agents, your network will teach itself, responding to new
information quickly and effectively in terms appropriate to the local
environment. The anti MAI [34]
campaign is a perfect example of walking the walk. What has global business
learned from this example?
The hacker mindset,
Napster and its siblings are all responses to changes in the environment.
Business needs these people and their thinking because what you learn today is
being changed already and adaption is an essential survival mechanism.
The agency that
develops on a global scale is the global organisation,[35]
not any one part over another. Organisations with no centre develop more
flexibly and inventively than centralised ones because they have more implicit
wisdom.
The enormous
computing and political power needed to control networked information flows is
a measure of the power of the structure and the process. A full peer to peer
global system will send the control costs ballistic. Peer to Peer might be a
great idea for a global strategy.
Open democratic
processes are inherently inventive and development oriented. When high value
information is allowed to flow and decisions are made transparently the highest
value can be assigned to any resource. We have the networks, an ethical decision
would be to use them.
There is already a powerful example of a
peer to peer network in the global Chinese
community.
The rules are something like this.
· You have access to expertise, knowledge and global markets
· Patronise community businesses.
·
Work long hard hours to achieve
success.
·
Keep the fruits of your labours.
·
Offer help when it is requested by
others in the community.
While we cannot elect ourselves into an ethnic network, we have the technology and the opportunity to develop and maintain multiple global networks based on almost any denominator you care to name.
These networks also
already work successfully using distributed ownership and co-operation, shared
resources, equal partnerships and collaborative processes.
The furniture
manufacturing networks of Emilia Romagna in Italy are centered on a producer
owned association which provides warehouses, stockpiles, buying power and
inventory control beyond the individual members means.
Danish Clothing
manufacturers have networked to turn uncoordinated apparel lines into a
uniformly tailored collection aimed at the German Market
Vermont Family
Forests; sustainable woodlot farmers, portable sawmill contractors and hand
crafted furniture manufacturers work together to disintermediate the broking
costs and supply market needs directly.
VISA International
is a global non-stock, for profit membership corporation owned by 23,000 member
financial institutions. It is owned by its members in the form of perpetual,
non-transferable rights which cannot be bought, traded or sold. It is a
moderately successful way of doing global business.
Through careful
analysis of the value chain Appropriate Technology International (ATI)
reorganises processes to add greater value at source and shift revenue upstream
to the small-scale producers.
One of their many
success stories is Anand Milk Producers Union which runs a modern dairy factory
producing quality branded products to markets throughout India and is directly
owned by rural women, some of whom have only one producing cow.
These networks
create value through mutual benefit and ensure that the value remains equitably
distributed throughout the chain.
Above all they
enable the participation of the greatest number of potential consumers in that
value chain and that is the foundation of the new promise of Globalisation,
that we can all benefit through participation.
Any model that works
for Indian milk producers and VISA International is clearly scalable and very
effective.
A perfect example of
the ideal marketplace at work comes from the rain forests of Fiji.
The custodians of
forests of Mahogany and Kauri trees have been approached by global companies
seeking high quality wood for their products. They need the wood because they
have not managed previous timber sources sustainably.
The average price
for this wood on the Japanese market is $1200 per cubic metre. The market
offers about $10 per tree to the local Fijian agent, the tribe gets $1.20 per
tree but the quantum for their useable wood still runs to hundreds of thousands
of dollars. There are strong incentives for them to allow the strip mining of
their forests.
Aside from the
un-sustainability this pricing structure entails, the ethics are a disgrace.
The difference
however, is knowledge. The community realised that more money than they have
ever seen is nothing compared with what it will cost them to survive once the
forest is gone. The difference between the sustainable poverty of today and the
unsustainable poverty of tomorrow is that their forest resource remains intact.
There is no contest.[36]
Perhaps the buyer will offer better value now that it doesnt have a monopoly
on the information.
When the resource
owners have access to the genuine value of their resource we fulfill the
requirement for the marketplace to work effectively.
The trouble is that
where there is equity, where there is equal knowledge, where there is a genuine
market, no-one gets rich quickly and no-one gets excessively rich at all.
In the information
age the only kind of ignorance is willful. We have the tools to discover the
full costs and effects of our decisions and actions. There are books,
periodicals, newspaper, websites, listservs and hundreds of global
organisations dedicated to everything from childrens rights to ethical trade.
In a Globalised enterprise, everything is your business. If you do not grasp
the threats and opportunities presented by all the social, environmental and
political issues surrounding you, you will be failing in your duty.
Make an
understanding of the issues a mandatory part of your business practice. That
means ensuring awareness among your colleagues, your shareholders and your
business partners. It also means asking the hard questions of those with whom
you do business. You cannot outsource your conscience to places where human
rights are abused, environmental standards are ignored and corrupt palms are
greased with your money.
The ethical
environment is already changing. British business is just coming to terms with
the incorporation of the European Convention on Human Rights into business law
but at last count, 75% of British CEOs knew nothing about the convention [37].
In the revised Globalisation that is dereliction of duty.
Practise
triple-bottom-line accounting. By placing the full costs of your business into
your annual report, even if you cannot affect the decisions immediately, you
will change the climate in which they are made.
Make the triple
bottom line part of the decision process. Even if you still have to make
uncomfortable decisions, it is the first step. You can choose to build business
partnerships with the corrupt or their victims, you can choose business models
that take more than they return or balance the trade. It is your choice make
it.
Many CEOs will fear that this road will scare off shareholders. There is that risk but shareholders pay you to be innovative and think laterally, adapting to new realities and opportunities. If you are a business leader, lead. If your investors arent happy, find new ones. Ethical investment is a growing strategy. Talk to your shareholders about values researcher Paul Ray [38]whose life values survey received these responses from your American customers
Statement |
Percentage
Agreement |
We need to treat the planet as a living system |
86.97% |
We need to rebuild our neighbourhoods and small communities |
83.4% |
Humans are meant to be stewards over nature and preserve it |
82.05% |
I want less emphasis on consumption and wealth |
67.66% |
Government should shut down air polluting industries |
62.55% |
What this reveals is
that there is a constituency, there is a market, so get selling.
Make sure women can
make a difference in your business. Do the same with your minority partners.
They are a huge source of energy and innovation. Women start new businesses at
twice the rate of men, minority women at three times the rate.[39]
For more support and useful information join Business Leaders for Sensible
Priorities[40] and call on
Responsible Wealth.[41]
You wont be alone
and you wont be any more likely to fail than the 50 airlines and thousands of
other businesses that crashed on the Level Playing Field in the last 25 years
doing things the old Globalisation way.
You have the power
to demand that your politicians refrain from expedient and unethical policies;
do it. You can lobby industry and professional associations for higher ethical
standards in everything from employment contracts to environmental audits; do
it.
In a global economy,
every hectare of land that is lost to production, every litre of pollutant that
damages the DNA of frogs and fish and human children, every exploited worker
costs everyone. In a global economy there are no externalities to trade off the
foul ups. You can lobby your global partners to change their perspective and if
they wont, find someone who will.
If you are serious
about Globalisation you have already decided to act globally, now turn on its
head the environmentalists catch cry and think like a local.
Any review of the
Globalisation agenda is less likely to happen unless those who benefit from the
system take the lead in creating change. We can empower others to make informed
choices that meet their needs or help them to make decisions that meet our
needs. In the pantheon of possible strategies for Globalisation that choice is
easy.
Nor is it soft business practice. Ethical investment funds are doing at least as well, and in many cases better than funds that take no account of ethical issues. Environmentally responsible companies find that wasteful use of resources is bad for business. Waiting for the playing field to be redrawn and the rules to be changed is a spectator strategy, not a player.
Globalisation does do not require you to act ethically or ensure that your global partners share equitably in the benefits. But it does not prevent you from behaving as a global citizen for whom there are no foreigners, only neighbours. Im not asking you to take it all on your own shoulders, but your shoulders are broader than so many others and in the words of Jack Kennedy, If not us, who? If not now, when?
All Im asking is that when you look at the global marketplace you abide by some simple principles.
n
those with
the least resources are not responsible for your ethical behaviour
n
do not
conceal the real value of a resource from its owner to increase your profit
n
your
personal advantage should not depend on driving your neighbour into poverty
n
profit does
not absolve you of your ethical responsibilities.
n
when you
damage the environment, account for the whole cost
n
do not
oblige others to poison their own air and land and water for your profit
n
markets and
monopolies are contradictory terms
n
you are not
obliged to use slave labour just because your competitors do.
These things are not mistakes, they are not poor judgement, they are not tactical errors, they are your choices. On the other hand:
n
share the
benefits of your knowledge with others at a price they can afford.
n
enable
others to grow and develop, even when it limits your maximum benefit
n
evaluate
your business using triple bottom line accounting
n
develop
partnerships that enable those partners to gain increased benefits rather than
merely absorb costs.
These things are not for the weak or stupid or empty headed, they take empathy, courage, willpower and resistance to ridicule. They also demand an acknowledgment of your humanity and your temporary participation in this world.
The one thing you
cannot do is opt out. There isnt anywhere to opt out to. I dont believe we
have any alternative now than to live constantly with an eye to the endless
cascade of effects that we unleash into the world every time we act.
Chaos theory says
the smallest act can have unpredictable and substantial effects. That doesnt
mean we should freeze like deer in the headlights, it does mean that at the
first sign that we have made things worse, we must stop first and ask questions
afterwards. It does mean that we can act as individuals and businesses to
create small positive effects because they too can have disproportionate
effects.
We dont have to
solve all the problems at once, and we are simply cowards if we refrain from
acting ethically and responsibly until we can. Living on the planet means
listening to all the feedback, even those things we dont want to hear.
The metaphor of the Level Playing Field both reveals and conceals. It reveals a desire for the world to be a simple place where we can isolate the things we want from the ones wed rather not consider. We love sport because it is simple and clean, excellence is easily defined and usually prevails and when the final whistle blows we know something for certain. It is a fine place to visit, but it is not where we live.
The metaphor also conceals a raft of dangerously simplistic assumptions and trying to force the world to conform to them is futile. Most importantly of all, the game does not end, the clock is never reset to zero so we can start again. An endless game of 6 billion players stuck to a globe with limited resources requires complex and constantly shifting rules and strategies. It is harder than we thought, we cannot predetermine the outcome and we must play as if all our lives depend upon it.
Globalisation is the end of the expansion model of business value. Global citizens no longer have anywhere to go, because we are already there. That figure approaching us on the horizon is no stranger, it is us, seen globally. Equally, there is nowhere to hide. [42]
Globalisation is not only something we do to our company, nor is it only what our company does in the market or the market to the planet. It is something we do to ourselves. It is a perspective.
Globalisation can be the outcome of responsible and sustainable use of world resources and equitable access to the benefits they offer. It can be the outcome of an ethical and sustainable relationship among the people who share the planet and with the planet itself. There is no alternative to it now; we have reached the end of the processes that led us here. We have no option but to try, in good faith, to make it work. And we have to start work now on whatever we will do after that.
I started by suggesting that Globalisation is a perspective more than anything else. I will end by asking you to take another new perspective. Cuneiform writing is constructed of small triangular impressions in clay. It fell out of use about 2,000 years ago but during the 3,000 years of its lifetime, it was used to write some 15 different languages.
Digital script was invented about 50 years ago. So in 2,950 years it will have been in use as long as cuneiform script. The digital equivalent of English script will lie 1,000 years beyond that and it will be another 1,000 years before the invention of Digital digital script, whatever that might be.
And yet, at the end of those 5,000 years, as far ahead of us now as the beginning of Cuneiform is behind us, all the potential, all the possibilities of Globalisation will have to be available to us, intact ready to use. If it is not, we will be extinct.
How clever then do we have to be to reach that point at all? What do we have to do now that will help ensure that we make it? How much of that is embodied in your Globalisation Management Strategy?
[1] World Trade Organisation
[2] International Monetary Fund
[3] World Economic Forum
[4] I mean here the
breach of a sensible diversity that will enable flexible responses to unforseen
and sudden changes with which the standard model can not cope. We should not
put all our economic eggs in one basket.
[5] UNDP Human
Development Report 1999
[6] http://www.votenader.com/issues/livingwage.html
[7] New York Times
September 10 2000
[8] If approved, the
document will be presented to the annual session of the UN Human Rights
Commission in March and April 2001. Financial Times, 15.8.00
[9] What's Up with
the Weather? Broadcast Transcript PBS Air date: April 18, 2000 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/transcripts/27gwwarming.html
[10] September 9, 2000
(Reuters) - Mexican Finance Minister Jose Angel Gurria said high oil prices
were a result of the limited capacity of producing countries to boost exports
to meet the needs of a strong global economy.
[11] September 11, 2000 (Reuters) - OPEC President Ali Rodriguez said
"We are approaching a crisis of great proportions because oil production
capacity is reaching its limit
Exploration for oil at ever-deeper levels ..was
proof that the planet's petroleum supply is not infinite. These are signs that all is not right in
production"
[12] New York Times September 14, 2000 President Delays New Import
Duties for Europe Goods
[13] Cato Institute promotes high-level thinking from the US libertarian perspective. It is dedicated to promoting the ideals of limited government, private enterprise, free-market economics, open trade and immigration
[14] The End of
Corporate Welfare As We Know It. Business Week, February 10, 1997 pp 36/7
[15] The Post
Corporate World David C Korten. p. 194
[16] The Sydney Morning Herald Monday, 18 September 2000
[17] Even the new economy is not exempt, as 11,000 Qwest workers are
finding out.
[18] See the WEF
Warnings under Backlash
[19] CNN Movers
program on JetBlue August 2000
[20] Wednesday,
September 13, 2000 IndustrySearch News
[21] Klaus Schwab and
Claude Smadja, Start Taking the Backlash Against Globalisation Seriously.
International Herald Tribune February 1 1996 p8
[22] The Post
Corporate World p201
[23] Bougainville's
Survival: Globalisation and War
Marcelline Tunim: Bougainville Women for Peace and Freedom http://www.pasifika.net/pacific-action/hap/marglobal.html
[24] Worker Rights Coalition, United Students Against Sweatshops and
Students for Economic Justice
[25] José Bové, a French sheep farmer crusading against Globalisation
has found widespread sympathy He was convicted of ransacking a McDonald's
restaurant in 1999. He was protesting at US sanctions on French produce after
the EU excluded US hormone-treated beef. His campaign quickly broadened to a
general crusade against Globalisation.
[26] Sydney Morning Herald September 15, 2000
[27] Mexico's Fox Meets Gore in US August
24, 2000 George Gedda, Associated Press Writer http://news.excite.com/news/ap/international/us-mexico
[28] The Australian Government has started a clampdown
on illegal tobacco sales on the grounds that it is losing millions a year in
excise taxes. In 1999 cigarette companies were receiving state export
incentives. The ironies escaped the government.
[29] Disposable
People. Kevin Bales University of California Press 1999
[30] At
the end of the first millennium the Vikings settled Greenland. They built a
wealthy society based on the export of sheep and beef products. When a mini ice
age occurred in the 1400s, they quickly failed as their agriculture was stifled
by the changed weather and died at appalling rates. The existing population of
Inuit, who were hunters, had a surplus of food while the Norse settlers died of
malnutrition. In modern Australia we
are doing the same. The Federal Government has put up $700 million over 7 years
to counter salination of the land, currently 5%, rising to 22% of agricultural
land in the next 20 years. Adelaides water will fail world standards 2 out of
5 days within that time. The cost is at least $65Bn and costs Australia about
$3.5Bn a year. Starting with the answer instead of listening to the question is
the major problem.
[31] Inquiry
into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations
[32] http://www.it.fairfax.com.au/breaking/20000727/A33276-2000Jul27.html
Internet nerves make a target for cyber-terrorists Researchers from Notre Dame
University in Indiana, analysed Internet connection maps and found that it has a random,
"scale-free'' structure which contains a few highly connected nodes that
were dangerously vulnerable to a selectively targeted attack that could easily
cripple the whole system.
[33] Controversial
Music file swapping software that initiated the current wave of new Internet
applications
[34] Multilateral
Agreement on Investment, defeated by global networking among its opponents.
[35] The Ends of
Globalisation Mohammed A Bamyeh p126
[36] Radio
National Australia
[37] Tony Marks, CMS
Cameron McKenna, World Business Today CNN Friday, 22 September 2000
[38] Paul H Ray. The
integral Culture Survey. October 1995
[39] These and other
useful facts at http://www.nfwbo.org/key.html
and http://www.nfwbo.org/LocLink/BIZC/RESEARCH/
[40] 130 William St, 3rd
Floor New York 10038
[41] c/- United for a
Fair Economy 37 temple Place, 5th floor, Boston 0211
[42] Northrop Fry
(Canadian Academic) In Post Colonial Nations (like Canada and Australia) the
question Who am I? inevitable slides into the absurd Where is here? Radio National Australia Arts programme